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TERADATA CORP /DE/ (TDC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 printed mixed: revenue $418M fell 10% YoY and came in slightly below S&P Global consensus, while non-GAAP EPS of $0.66 beat materially on lower spend and FX; GAAP EPS was $0.45 .
- Public cloud ARR rose to $606M (+16% CC), but total ARR declined to $1.442B (-2% CC); cloud is now 42% of total ARR, underscoring hybrid traction amid macro volatility .
- Guidance: FY25 GAAP EPS raised to $1.06–$1.16, total revenue range widened to -4% to -7% (from -4% to -6%), with non-GAAP EPS held at $2.15–$2.25; Q2 guides to non-GAAP EPS $0.37–$0.41 and revenue down 7–9% YoY (CC) .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: EPS beat despite revenue headwinds; reaffirmed return to total ARR growth in Q4; leadership hires (CFO, CPO) and new AI offerings (Enterprise Vector Store) reinforce execution and AI narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP EPS $0.66 beat the top end of outlook, driven by lower spend and FX; operating margin expanded to 21.8% (+270 bps YoY) due to 2024 restructuring actions .
- Public cloud ARR reached $606M (+16% CC), with cloud net expansion rate 115% and cloud now 42% of total ARR—management highlighted strong hybrid relevance amid macro uncertainty .
- Strategic AI momentum: launched Enterprise Vector Store with planned NVIDIA NeMo integration, highlighted multiple customer AI use cases, and partnership visibility (AWS, Google, Azure, NVIDIA, ServiceNow) .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue $418M declined 10% YoY and landed toward the low end of expectations, pressured by services; total ARR -2% CC with erosion seasonality in Q1 .
- Gross margin down YoY (non-GAAP 60.3%, -190 bps) primarily due to services; recurring revenue -6% CC, with a ~2 ppt Q2 headwind anticipated from upfront revenue .
- Q2 non-GAAP EPS guide ($0.37–$0.41) implies a sequential step-down from Q1 ($0.66) on lower volume, lower corporate spend, higher claims, and mix effects; FY25 total revenue range widened (discretionary services) .
Financial Results
Actuals vs S&P Global consensus:
Segment revenue:
KPIs:
Key cross-references:
- Free cash flow: $7M in Q1 (vs $21M LY) .
- Cash from operations: $8M in Q1; FY25 outlook $270–$300M; FCF $250–$280M .
- Share repurchases: ~$44M in Q1 (1.6M shares), target ≥50% of FCF returned .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered public cloud ARR of $606 million… We are helping industry leaders around the world recognize value from trusted AI and our hybrid platform” — Steve McMillan, CEO .
- “Operating margin was 21.8%, up 270 bps YoY… Non-GAAP EPS exceeded the top end of our outlook; the outperformance is primarily from lower spend and FX” — Charles Smotherman, Interim CFO .
- “There is no trusted AI without trusted data… Enterprise Vector Store… purpose-built for agentic workloads and RAG-based implementations” — Sumeet Arora, CPO .
- “Cloud is now 42% of our total ARR… hybrid capabilities are very relevant in times of macro volatility” — Steve McMillan, CEO .
- “We remain committed to returning to total ARR growth in Q4, producing strong operating margin and free cash flow” — Charles Smotherman, Interim CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Profitability trajectory: Q2 non-GAAP EPS step-down vs Q1 due to lower volume, lower corporate spend, mix and “higher claims”; partially offset by lower headcount/corporate spend .
- Services/margins: services weakness drove gross margin pressure; actions underway to return to positive services margin in H2 .
- Retention: meaningful improvements YoY and sequentially; customer success driving better health metrics .
- Government exposure: minimal U.S. federal spend; majority of government business is international/state/local .
- Hybrid and AI monetization: POCs leveraging Teradata platform in production at higher speed and lower cost; AI revenue impact more 2026-weighted as capacity expands with use case adoption .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Revenue $418M vs S&P Global consensus $423.2M* (miss); non-GAAP EPS $0.66 vs $0.562* (beat). Management cited lower spend and FX for EPS outperformance and services drag on revenue/margins .
- Q4 2024: Revenue $409M vs $414.7M* (miss); non-GAAP EPS $0.53 vs $0.434* (beat) .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS resilience despite revenue pressure: cost actions and FX tailwinds supported margin/EPS; watch sustainability as Q2 guides to step-down .
- ARR inflection narrative intact: management reiterates return to total ARR growth in Q4; monitor retention and net expansion rates (cloud NER 115%) .
- Services are the swing factor: discretionary services softness widened FY revenue range; H2 margin recovery plan is a key execution milestone .
- Hybrid + AI differentiation: Enterprise Vector Store and partner ecosystem (NVIDIA, ServiceNow) strengthen agentic AI positioning; potential incremental demand as use cases scale .
- Capital returns continue: $44M buybacks in Q1; intention to return ≥50% of FCF underscores shareholder-friendly posture .
- Leadership changes: new CFO (May 12) and new CPO add SaaS transition and AI product velocity experience—track impact on guide credibility and product cadence .
- Near-term setup: Expect softer Q2 revenue/EPS; H2 targets—positive services margin and ARR growth—are catalysts for estimate revisions and narrative support .